2016 RSD to AZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0154 AZN

YEARLY LOW

0.0134 AZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0144 AZN

2016 RSD to AZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to AZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 0.0154. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 29, dropping to 0.0134.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0020 AZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0140 to the December average rate of 0.0151, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0154 was up 9.15% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0141, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 77 AZN

2015 Average 47 AZN

Yearly Trough Low 67 AZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9.92 AZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0153

0.0137

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to AZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0141, compared to 0.0147 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0141

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0147

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0013 AZN (High: 0.0150 / Low: 0.0137). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 AZN (High: 0.0151 / Low: 0.0148).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0013

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0006 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.0151) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0106), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0046 (+43.38%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.0151

2015 Avg (December) 0.0106

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0144	0.0138	0.0140
February	0.0147	0.0139	0.0143
March	0.0150	0.0137	0.0146
April	0.0142	0.0137	0.0140
May	0.0141	0.0134	0.0138
June	0.0141	0.0135	0.0138
July	0.0145	0.0139	0.0141
August	0.0151	0.0144	0.0148
September	0.0151	0.0148	0.0150
October	0.0149	0.0143	0.0145
November	0.0152	0.0148	0.0150
December	0.0154	0.0150	0.0151