2016 RSD to BGN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0161 BGN

YEARLY LOW

0.0158 BGN

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0159 BGN

2016 RSD to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.0161. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 26, dropping to 0.0158.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0003 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0160 to the December average rate of 0.0159, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0161 was down 2.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0165, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 80 BGN

2015 Average 81 BGN

Yearly Trough Low 79 BGN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1.56 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0160

0.0158

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0159, compared to 0.0159 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0000 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0159

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0159

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0003 BGN (High: 0.0161 / Low: 0.0158). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 BGN (High: 0.0159 / Low: 0.0159).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0003

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0160) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0160), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0000 (-0.11%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0160

2015 Avg (January) 0.0160

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0161	0.0158	0.0160
February	0.0161	0.0158	0.0159
March	0.0159	0.0158	0.0159
April	0.0160	0.0159	0.0159
May	0.0160	0.0158	0.0159
June	0.0159	0.0158	0.0158
July	0.0159	0.0158	0.0159
August	0.0160	0.0158	0.0159
September	0.0159	0.0158	0.0159
October	0.0159	0.0159	0.0159
November	0.0160	0.0159	0.0159
December	0.0159	0.0158	0.0159