YEARLY HIGH
0.0415 BRL
YEARLY LOW
0.0325 BRL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0364 BRL

2018 RSD to BRL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to BRL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 13, valuing the pair at 0.0415. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.0325.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0090 BRL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0330 to the December average rate of 0.0374, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.42% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0415 was up 23.53% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0336, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 208 BRL
2017 Average 149 BRL
Yearly Trough Low 162 BRL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 45.21 BRL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0411
0.0323
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to BRL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0350, compared to 0.0378 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0028 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0350
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0378

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0047 BRL (High: 0.0410 / Low: 0.0363). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 BRL (High: 0.0378 / Low: 0.0369).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0047
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0039 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0039

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 0.0404) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0313), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0091 (+29.01%).

2018 Avg (September) 0.0404
2017 Avg (September) 0.0313

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0337 0.0325 0.0330
February 0.0344 0.0334 0.0339
March 0.0348 0.0338 0.0342
April 0.0360 0.0343 0.0354
May 0.0373 0.0357 0.0363
June 0.0390 0.0366 0.0373
July 0.0390 0.0367 0.0378
August 0.0410 0.0363 0.0383
September 0.0415 0.0395 0.0404
October 0.0393 0.0351 0.0365
November 0.0377 0.0356 0.0363
December 0.0378 0.0369 0.0374