YEARLY HIGH
0.7262 BTN
YEARLY LOW
0.6398 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6821 BTN

2018 RSD to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 0.7262. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 0.6398.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0863 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6545 to the December average rate of 0.6796, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.7262 was up 11.73% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6499, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,631 BTN
2017 Average 3,032 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 3,199 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 431.57 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.7198
0.6486
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6720, compared to 0.6923 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0203 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6720
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6923

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.0413 BTN (High: 0.7084 / Low: 0.6671). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0089 BTN (High: 0.6830 / Low: 0.6741).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0413
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0234 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0234

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 0.7139) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6415), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0723 (+11.28%).

2018 Avg (October) 0.7139
2017 Avg (October) 0.6415

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6653 0.6398 0.6545
February 0.6789 0.6636 0.6718
March 0.6830 0.6741 0.6784
April 0.6886 0.6732 0.6819
May 0.6824 0.6634 0.6752
June 0.6781 0.6623 0.6701
July 0.6858 0.6759 0.6803
August 0.6992 0.6659 0.6797
September 0.7224 0.6961 0.7097
October 0.7262 0.7031 0.7139
November 0.7084 0.6671 0.6904
December 0.6920 0.6700 0.6796