2016 RSD to HTG Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5961 HTG

YEARLY LOW

0.5025 HTG

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5667 HTG

2016 RSD to HTG Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to HTG exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 26, valuing the pair at 0.5961. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.5025.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0936 HTG. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5141 to the December average rate of 0.5688, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.5961 was up 14.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5203, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,980 HTG

2015 Average 2,335 HTG

Yearly Trough Low 2,513 HTG

Transaction Impact: A difference of 467.85 HTG purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.5986

0.5065

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to HTG Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5563, compared to 0.5770 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0208 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5563

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5770

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0337 HTG (High: 0.5753 / Low: 0.5416). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0088 HTG (High: 0.5737 / Low: 0.5649).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0337

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0088

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0133 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0133

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2016: 0.5909) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.4950), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0960 (+19.39%).

2016 Avg (September) 0.5909

2015 Avg (September) 0.4950

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5257	0.5025	0.5141
February	0.5542	0.5267	0.5457
March	0.5753	0.5416	0.5595
April	0.5825	0.5680	0.5739
May	0.5833	0.5626	0.5730
June	0.5779	0.5597	0.5715
July	0.5737	0.5649	0.5681
August	0.5934	0.5736	0.5831
September	0.5961	0.5839	0.5909
October	0.5952	0.5732	0.5823
November	0.5845	0.5543	0.5690
December	0.5758	0.5625	0.5688