2016 RSD to JPY Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0768 JPY

YEARLY LOW

0.9027 JPY

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.9780 JPY

2016 RSD to JPY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to JPY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 1.0768. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 9, dropping to 0.9027.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1741 JPY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0501 to the December average rate of 0.9916, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0768 was down 10.30% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.2004, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,384 JPY

2015 Average 5,567 JPY

Yearly Trough Low 4,513 JPY

Transaction Impact: A difference of 870.49 JPY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.0629

0.9088

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to JPY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0136, compared to 0.9425 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0712 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0136

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.9425

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.0885 JPY (High: 0.9976 / Low: 0.9091). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0165 JPY (High: 1.0099 / Low: 0.9934).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0885

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0165

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0407 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0407

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 1.0501) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.1250), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0749 (-6.66%).

2016 Avg (January) 1.0501

2015 Avg (January) 1.1250

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.0768	1.0372	1.0501
February	1.0722	0.9983	1.0364
March	1.0413	0.9984	1.0218
April	1.0373	0.9955	1.0124
May	1.0099	0.9934	1.0009
June	0.9976	0.9091	0.9602
July	0.9571	0.9027	0.9322
August	0.9352	0.9147	0.9216
September	0.9437	0.9126	0.9284
October	0.9413	0.9192	0.9297
November	0.9832	0.9310	0.9512
December	0.9997	0.9830	0.9916