YEARLY HIGH
4.0740 KMF
YEARLY LOW
3.8686 KMF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9890 KMF

2016 RSD to KMF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to KMF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 20, valuing the pair at 4.0740. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 19, dropping to 3.8686.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2054 KMF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0030 to the December average rate of 3.9904, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 4.0740 was down 4.11% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.2487, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,370 KMF
2015 Average 20,390 KMF
Yearly Trough Low 19,343 KMF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,027.12 KMF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

4.0473
3.9185
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to KMF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9928, compared to 3.9853 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0076 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9928
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9853

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 0.1410 KMF (High: 4.0096 / Low: 3.8686). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0456 KMF (High: 4.0386 / Low: 3.9930).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1410
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0456

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0374 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0374

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 4.0366) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.1111), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0745 (-1.81%).

2016 Avg (August) 4.0366
2015 Avg (August) 4.1111

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0491 3.9236 4.0030
February 4.0476 3.9809 4.0092
March 4.0430 3.9595 4.0005
April 4.0386 3.9930 4.0078
May 4.0320 3.9461 3.9863
June 3.9782 3.8858 3.9502
July 4.0096 3.8686 3.9293
August 4.0740 3.9936 4.0366
September 4.0257 3.9800 3.9991
October 4.0062 3.9210 3.9740
November 4.0069 3.8986 3.9822
December 4.0198 3.9363 3.9904