YEARLY HIGH
8.4410 KPW
YEARLY LOW
7.5638 KPW
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.0964 KPW

2016 RSD to KPW Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to KPW exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 3, valuing the pair at 8.4410. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 7.5638.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8772 KPW. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9772 to the December average rate of 7.6907, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.4410 was down 5.90% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.9706, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,205 KPW
2015 Average 41,392 KPW
Yearly Trough Low 37,819 KPW
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,385.95 KPW purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.3724
7.6287
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to KPW Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.1734, compared to 8.0194 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1539 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.1734
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.0194

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.4360 KPW (High: 8.1443 / Low: 7.7083). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0698 KPW (High: 8.2211 / Low: 8.1513).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4360
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0698

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.2040 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2040

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 8.2757) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.3330), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0573 (-0.69%).

2016 Avg (May) 8.2757
2015 Avg (May) 8.3330

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.0528 7.9044 7.9772
February 8.2880 7.9652 8.1389
March 8.3282 7.9197 8.1386
April 8.4058 8.2236 8.3105
May 8.4410 8.1079 8.2757
June 8.3043 8.0209 8.1994
July 8.1519 8.0146 8.0810
August 8.2708 8.1015 8.1882
September 8.2211 8.1513 8.1905
October 8.2182 7.9509 8.0717
November 8.1443 7.7083 7.8947
December 7.8474 7.5638 7.6907