2016 RSD to MAD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0898 MAD

YEARLY LOW

0.0856 MAD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0882 MAD

2016 RSD to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RSD to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 1, valuing the pair at 0.0898. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 0.0856.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0041 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0878 to the December average rate of 0.0864, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0898 was down 1.89% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0915, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 449 MAD

2015 Average 448 MAD

Yearly Trough Low 428 MAD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 20.61 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0894

0.0861

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0885, compared to 0.0878 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0007 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0885

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0878

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0023 MAD (High: 0.0887 / Low: 0.0864). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 MAD (High: 0.0887 / Low: 0.0883).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0023

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0010 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0010

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 0.0889) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0901), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0011 (-1.24%).

2016 Avg (May) 0.0889

2015 Avg (May) 0.0901

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0886	0.0873	0.0878
February	0.0895	0.0875	0.0884
March	0.0892	0.0872	0.0882
April	0.0897	0.0887	0.0892
May	0.0898	0.0876	0.0889
June	0.0891	0.0874	0.0885
July	0.0885	0.0876	0.0880
August	0.0888	0.0882	0.0885
September	0.0887	0.0883	0.0885
October	0.0887	0.0876	0.0881
November	0.0887	0.0864	0.0874
December	0.0872	0.0856	0.0864