2018 RSD to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

209.9507 STD

YEARLY LOW

200.8453 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

206.2328 STD

2018 RSD to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RSD to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 209.9507. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 200.8453.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.1053 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 207.7136 to the December average rate of 202.4949, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.51% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 209.9507 was up 0.87% compared to the 2017 peak of 208.1475, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,049,753 STD

2017 Average 1,010,214 STD

Yearly Trough Low 1,004,227 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 45,526.61 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

208.5059

201.7350

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 207.3935, compared to 205.0721 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.3214 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 207.3935

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 205.0721

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 6.0026 STD (High: 208.3860 / Low: 202.3835). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7792 STD (High: 208.6865 / Low: 206.9073).

August Spread (Volatile) ±6.0026

July Spread (Stable) ±1.7792

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 2.6845 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.6845

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 207.7136) against the same month in 2017 (average: 198.2347), the exchange rate shifted by +9.4788 (+4.78%).

2018 Avg (January) 207.7136

2017 Avg (January) 198.2347

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	209.9507	205.5607	207.7136
February	208.5743	205.6184	207.1538
March	208.8204	206.3541	207.5090
April	208.1247	205.3838	207.0516
May	208.4521	206.3093	207.2247
June	208.8061	205.8348	207.7086
July	208.6865	206.9073	207.9416
August	208.3860	202.3835	205.7002
September	209.7820	205.5401	207.3406
October	206.8998	201.3627	204.6561
November	203.8005	200.8453	202.2992
December	204.0363	200.8928	202.4949