YEARLY HIGH
2424.7971 VEF
YEARLY LOW
2309.2625 VEF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2361.2924 VEF

2019 RSD to VEF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the RSD to VEF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 2424.7971. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 2309.2625.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 115.5346 VEF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2397.3136 to the December average rate of 2349.2413, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2424.7971 was down 2.07% compared to the 2018 peak of 2476.1712, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RSD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,123,986 VEF
2018 Average 6,237,018 VEF
Yearly Trough Low 11,546,312 VEF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 577,673.10 VEF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2404.2435
2321.0847
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RSD to VEF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2377.9227, compared to 2344.6620 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 33.2607 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2377.9227
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2344.6620

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 52.7827 VEF (High: 2373.0602 / Low: 2320.2774). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 22.8386 VEF (High: 2367.0721 / Low: 2344.2336).

August Spread (Volatile) ±52.7827
May Spread (Stable) ±22.8386

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 20.0170 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -20.0170

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 2397.3136) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.1040), the exchange rate shifted by +2397.2097 (+2306107.44%).

2019 Avg (January) 2397.3136
2018 Avg (January) 0.1040

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2424.7971 2373.3536 2397.3136
February 2404.3313 2369.1634 2386.0347
March 2408.4147 2356.0721 2379.5180
April 2383.4127 2346.2261 2366.2222
May 2367.0721 2344.2336 2357.2992
June 2402.9363 2354.0135 2381.1487
July 2382.8888 2336.9484 2366.6582
August 2373.0602 2320.2774 2348.0316
September 2348.5142 2309.2625 2328.0146
October 2360.1769 2311.6119 2338.6026
November 2363.4216 2325.0306 2337.4241
December 2370.9522 2328.4074 2349.2413