2016 RUB to AFN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.0975 AFN

YEARLY LOW

0.8344 AFN

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.0159 AFN

2016 RUB to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 1.0975. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 0.8344.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2631 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8968 to the December average rate of 1.0713, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.0975 was down 9.05% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.2067, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,488 AFN

2015 Average 5,035 AFN

Yearly Trough Low 4,172 AFN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,315.57 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.0893

0.8742

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9836, compared to 1.0482 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0647 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9836

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.0482

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1045 AFN (High: 0.9389 / Low: 0.8344). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0196 AFN (High: 1.0605 / Low: 1.0409).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1045

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0196

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0302 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0302

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.0713) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.9643), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1070 (+11.10%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.0713

2015 Avg (December) 0.9643

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.9389	0.8344	0.8968
February	0.9152	0.8646	0.8922
March	1.0221	0.9303	0.9807
April	1.0547	1.0010	1.0281
May	1.0573	1.0270	1.0412
June	1.0840	1.0304	1.0624
July	1.0935	1.0345	1.0676
August	1.0573	0.9992	1.0373
September	1.0527	1.0137	1.0338
October	1.0605	1.0409	1.0518
November	1.0447	1.0016	1.0275
December	1.0975	1.0391	1.0713