YEARLY HIGH
5.8378 KZT
YEARLY LOW
5.1011 KZT
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.4991 KZT

2018 RUB to KZT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to KZT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 5.8378. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 10, dropping to 5.1011.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7367 KZT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7692 to the December average rate of 5.5051, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.8378 was down 2.75% compared to the 2017 peak of 6.0026, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 29,189 KZT
2017 Average 27,974 KZT
Yearly Trough Low 25,506 KZT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,683.27 KZT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.8186
5.2247
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to KZT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5062, compared to 5.4921 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0141 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5062
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.4921

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.4809 KZT (High: 5.5820 / Low: 5.1011). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1256 KZT (High: 5.4317 / Low: 5.3061).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.4809
June Spread (Stable) ±0.1256

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2647 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2647

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.7692) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.5289), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2402 (+4.35%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.7692
2017 Avg (January) 5.5289

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.8378 5.7101 5.7692
February 5.7562 5.5758 5.6615
March 5.6960 5.5252 5.6168
April 5.5820 5.1011 5.3520
May 5.3533 5.1773 5.2742
June 5.4317 5.3061 5.3636
July 5.5777 5.3856 5.4795
August 5.5427 5.2648 5.3850
September 5.5363 5.3234 5.4294
October 5.6419 5.4946 5.5822
November 5.6784 5.4954 5.5712
December 5.6211 5.3441 5.5051