2016 RUB to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3334 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.2494 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2981 MDL

2016 RUB to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RUB to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 0.3334. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 0.2494.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0840 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2657 to the December average rate of 0.3244, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3334 was down 8.13% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3629, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,667 MDL

2015 Average 1,544 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 1,247 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 420.12 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3309

0.2536

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2847, compared to 0.3116 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0269 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2847

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3116

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0227 MDL (High: 0.2721 / Low: 0.2494). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0089 MDL (High: 0.3214 / Low: 0.3126).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0227

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0065 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0065

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.3244) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.2817), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0427 (+15.17%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.3244

2015 Avg (December) 0.2817

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2721	0.2494	0.2657
February	0.2657	0.2505	0.2601
March	0.2909	0.2716	0.2830
April	0.3043	0.2850	0.2950
May	0.3047	0.2957	0.3004
June	0.3100	0.2969	0.3039
July	0.3151	0.2965	0.3073
August	0.3090	0.2950	0.3039
September	0.3133	0.3000	0.3060
October	0.3214	0.3126	0.3171
November	0.3160	0.3028	0.3106
December	0.3334	0.3151	0.3244