YEARLY HIGH
0.1585 TJS
YEARLY LOW
0.1336 TJS
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1461 TJS

2018 RUB to TJS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RUB to TJS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 0.1585. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 10, dropping to 0.1336.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0250 TJS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1557 to the December average rate of 0.1394, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1585 was down 0.27% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1590, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 793 TJS
2017 Average 737 TJS
Yearly Trough Low 668 TJS
Transaction Impact: A difference of 124.82 TJS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1573
0.1378
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to TJS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1500, compared to 0.1422 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0078 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1500
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1422

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.0137 TJS (High: 0.1542 / Low: 0.1405). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0038 TJS (High: 0.1464 / Low: 0.1426).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0137
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0038

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0085 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0085

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.1552) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1366), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0186 (+13.61%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.1552
2017 Avg (February) 0.1366

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1576 0.1528 0.1557
February 0.1585 0.1512 0.1552
March 0.1562 0.1522 0.1544
April 0.1542 0.1405 0.1458
May 0.1469 0.1397 0.1440
June 0.1464 0.1426 0.1447
July 0.1513 0.1446 0.1480
August 0.1496 0.1381 0.1418
September 0.1438 0.1336 0.1395
October 0.1450 0.1408 0.1430
November 0.1436 0.1387 0.1416
December 0.1421 0.1354 0.1394