2016 RWF to CDF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.4573 CDF

YEARLY LOW

1.1155 CDF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2403 CDF

2016 RWF to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RWF to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 1.4573. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 1.1155.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3418 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2376 to the December average rate of 1.4115, the exchange rate registered a net change of 14.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.4573 was up 7.72% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.3529, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RWF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,287 CDF

2015 Average 6,507 CDF

Yearly Trough Low 5,577 CDF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,709.15 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.4322

1.1844

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RWF to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2271, compared to 1.2536 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0265 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2271

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2536

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.2813 CDF (High: 1.3968 / Low: 1.1155). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0119 CDF (High: 1.2429 / Low: 1.2310).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2813

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0119

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0137 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0137

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.4115) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.2420), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1695 (+13.65%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.4115

2015 Avg (December) 1.2420

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2429	1.2310	1.2376
February	1.2466	1.2095	1.2312
March	1.2410	1.1987	1.2232
April	1.2320	1.1892	1.2187
May	1.2431	1.2036	1.2193
June	1.2938	1.1898	1.2325
July	1.2589	1.2026	1.2338
August	1.2456	1.2056	1.2316
September	1.2294	1.2079	1.2187
October	1.2241	1.1750	1.2050
November	1.3968	1.1155	1.2208
December	1.4573	1.3816	1.4115