YEARLY HIGH
5.4939 MDL
YEARLY LOW
5.2025 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.3018 MDL

2016 SAR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SAR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 13, valuing the pair at 5.4939. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 4, dropping to 5.2025.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2915 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.4171 to the December average rate of 5.3638, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.4939 was up 1.91% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.3910, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SAR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,470 MDL
2015 Average 25,009 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 26,012 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,457.36 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.4351
5.2195
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SAR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.3046, compared to 5.2990 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0056 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.3046
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2990

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.2410 MDL (High: 5.4939 / Low: 5.2529). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0271 MDL (High: 5.2751 / Low: 5.2481).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2410
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0271

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0827 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0827

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.4171) against the same month in 2015 (average: 4.4350), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9821 (+22.15%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.4171
2015 Avg (January) 4.4350

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.4939 5.2529 5.4171
February 5.4180 5.3057 5.3526
March 5.3425 5.2096 5.2699
April 5.2624 5.2025 5.2375
May 5.3372 5.2410 5.2793
June 5.3076 5.2308 5.2710
July 5.2937 5.2404 5.2713
August 5.2751 5.2481 5.2573
September 5.2751 5.2478 5.2617
October 5.3466 5.2387 5.2941
November 5.3974 5.2757 5.3456
December 5.3970 5.2971 5.3638