YEARLY HIGH
5.4596 BTN
YEARLY LOW
4.4813 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0208 BTN

2018 SCR to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 5.4596. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 4.4813.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9783 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5738 to the December average rate of 5.1665, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.96% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 5.4596 was up 3.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.2660, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 27,298 BTN
2017 Average 23,963 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 22,407 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,891.35 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

5.4743
4.4920
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8269, compared to 5.2146 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3876 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8269
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.2146

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.2797 BTN (High: 5.3410 / Low: 5.0613). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0470 BTN (High: 5.0963 / Low: 5.0494).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2797
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0470

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1296 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1296

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 5.3924) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.7524), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6400 (+13.47%).

2018 Avg (October) 5.3924
2017 Avg (October) 4.7524

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6684 4.4813 4.5738
February 4.8321 4.5556 4.7290
March 4.8407 4.6008 4.7668
April 4.9687 4.7372 4.8736
May 5.0739 4.8135 5.0025
June 5.0766 4.9771 5.0159
July 5.0963 5.0494 5.0695
August 5.2132 5.0421 5.1175
September 5.3410 5.0613 5.2787
October 5.4596 5.2962 5.3924
November 5.3850 5.1056 5.2629
December 5.2779 5.0281 5.1665