YEARLY HIGH
121.7418 MMK
YEARLY LOW
107.7101 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
111.2531 MMK

2019 SCR to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 121.7418. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 107.7101.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.0317 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 112.2957 to the December average rate of 109.4638, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 121.7418 was up 1.72% compared to the 2018 peak of 119.6844, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 608,709 MMK
2018 Average 529,717 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 538,551 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 70,158.62 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

112.5789
109.1807
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 111.5855, compared to 110.9207 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6648 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 111.5855
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 110.9207

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 13.3341 MMK (High: 121.7418 / Low: 108.4077). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0456 MMK (High: 112.0169 / Low: 110.9713).

August Spread (Volatile) ±13.3341
October Spread (Stable) ±1.0456

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.2198 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2198

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 111.5744) against the same month in 2018 (average: 110.3036), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2709 (+1.15%).

2019 Avg (August) 111.5744
2018 Avg (August) 110.3036

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 113.2532 110.5439 112.2957
February 113.4486 110.1886 111.8144
March 112.8308 109.5426 111.2378
April 111.8002 109.4791 110.7224
May 112.8395 110.9133 111.9723
June 112.2357 110.8847 111.4703
July 111.3268 108.0318 110.5608
August 121.7418 108.4077 111.5744
September 112.3813 110.5658 111.6275
October 112.0169 110.9713 111.6140
November 116.8062 107.9490 110.6836
December 110.5106 107.7101 109.4638