2011 SCR to MNT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

105.5375 MNT

YEARLY LOW

96.0075 MNT

YEARLY AVERAGE

100.9871 MNT

2011 SCR to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 7, valuing the pair at 105.5375. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 13, dropping to 96.0075.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.5300 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 100.1979 to the December average rate of 102.2827, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.08% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 105.5375 was down 21.52% compared to the 2010 peak of 134.4798, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 527,687 MNT

2010 Average 558,425 MNT

Yearly Trough Low 480,037 MNT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 47,650.12 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

102.5880

98.9238

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 100.2596, compared to 101.7145 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4549 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 100.2596

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.7145

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 8.1329 MNT (High: 104.1404 / Low: 96.0075). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.0757 MNT (High: 102.9579 / Low: 99.8822).

April Spread (Volatile) ±8.1329

July Spread (Stable) ±3.0757

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.8567 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.8567

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 102.2827) against the same month in 2010 (average: 99.6601), the exchange rate shifted by +2.6226 (+2.63%).

2011 Avg (December) 102.2827

2010 Avg (December) 99.6601

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	102.8736	98.0105	100.1979
February	103.5297	99.7996	101.3044
March	102.9988	96.2304	99.4478
April	104.1404	96.0075	99.2292
May	102.1233	97.2121	99.3073
June	104.5911	99.6041	102.0711
July	102.9579	99.8822	101.6781
August	102.6038	98.5249	100.3225
September	104.0227	99.8188	101.8372
October	103.8117	99.1786	102.1061
November	103.9534	99.5731	102.0607
December	105.5375	99.2475	102.2827