2014 SCR to MVR Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.2938 MVR

YEARLY LOW

1.0721 MVR

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.2140 MVR

2014 SCR to MVR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to MVR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 27, valuing the pair at 1.2938. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 11, dropping to 1.0721.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2216 MVR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2756 to the December average rate of 1.0932, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1.2938 was down 2.22% compared to the 2013 peak of 1.3232, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,469 MVR

2013 Average 6,370 MVR

Yearly Trough Low 5,361 MVR

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,108.14 MVR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1.2951

1.0612

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MVR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2686, compared to 1.1595 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1091 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2686

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1595

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.0881 MVR (High: 1.1716 / Low: 1.0835). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0074 MVR (High: 1.2553 / Low: 1.2479).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0881

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0074

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0500 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0500

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 1.2752) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1.3129), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0376 (-2.87%).

2014 Avg (April) 1.2752

2013 Avg (April) 1.3129

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.2828	1.2652	1.2756
February	1.2783	1.2581	1.2696
March	1.2873	1.2585	1.2692
April	1.2938	1.2543	1.2752
May	1.2887	1.2301	1.2634
June	1.2804	1.2464	1.2585
July	1.2553	1.2479	1.2519
August	1.2541	1.1819	1.2240
September	1.1887	1.1651	1.1765
October	1.1716	1.0835	1.1307
November	1.0910	1.0736	1.0807
December	1.1469	1.0721	1.0932