2018 SCR to MZN Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.6171 MZN

YEARLY LOW

4.1594 MZN

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.4251 MZN

2018 SCR to MZN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to MZN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 18, valuing the pair at 4.6171. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 4.1594.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4577 MZN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2467 to the December average rate of 4.4612, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.6171 was down 15.36% compared to the 2017 peak of 5.4551, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,086 MZN

2017 Average 23,677 MZN

Yearly Trough Low 20,797 MZN

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,288.53 MZN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.5647

4.2178

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MZN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4390, compared to 4.4112 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0279 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4390

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4112

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 0.2480 MZN (High: 4.5909 / Low: 4.3429). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0767 MZN (High: 4.4952 / Low: 4.4185).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.2480

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0767

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0547 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0547

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2018: 4.5358) against the same month in 2017 (average: 5.1397), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6039 (-11.75%).

2018 Avg (March) 4.5358

2017 Avg (March) 5.1397

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	4.3505	4.1594	4.2467
February	4.5909	4.3429	4.4759
March	4.6171	4.3880	4.5358
April	4.5497	4.4247	4.5037
May	4.5079	4.2943	4.4616
June	4.4565	4.3734	4.4105
July	4.4355	4.2728	4.3557
August	4.4024	4.2500	4.3205
September	4.4755	4.2306	4.4307
October	4.4618	4.3629	4.4402
November	4.4952	4.4185	4.4587
December	4.5169	4.3613	4.4612