YEARLY HIGH
3.9917 PHP
YEARLY LOW
3.5385 PHP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8679 PHP

2018 SCR to PHP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to PHP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 22, valuing the pair at 3.9917. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 3.5385.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4532 PHP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.6318 to the December average rate of 3.8608, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.9917 was up 2.89% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.8796, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 19,958 PHP
2017 Average 18,551 PHP
Yearly Trough Low 17,692 PHP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,266.04 PHP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.9851
3.5997
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to PHP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8211, compared to 3.9147 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0936 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8211
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9147

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.2242 PHP (High: 3.9917 / Low: 3.7675). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0523 PHP (High: 3.9395 / Low: 3.8872).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2242
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0523

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0857 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0857

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 3.9530) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.7404), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2125 (+5.68%).

2018 Avg (September) 3.9530
2017 Avg (September) 3.7404

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7423 3.5385 3.6318
February 3.8846 3.6824 3.8108
March 3.8921 3.6908 3.8200
April 3.9008 3.7854 3.8614
May 3.9193 3.7334 3.8734
June 3.9618 3.8923 3.9293
July 3.9605 3.9037 3.9395
August 3.9395 3.8872 3.9189
September 3.9917 3.7675 3.9530
October 3.9892 3.8900 3.9510
November 3.9054 3.8166 3.8653
December 3.9014 3.7983 3.8608