2016 SCR to STD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1784.7743 STD

YEARLY LOW

1529.0085 STD

YEARLY AVERAGE

1669.1627 STD

2016 SCR to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 22, valuing the pair at 1784.7743. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 28, dropping to 1529.0085.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 255.7657 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1723.5970 to the December average rate of 1738.7812, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1784.7743 was down 5.47% compared to the 2015 peak of 1888.1014, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,923,871 STD

2015 Average 8,304,768 STD

Yearly Trough Low 7,645,043 STD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,278,828.68 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1752.0457

1592.8719

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1655.1767, compared to 1683.1486 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 27.9719 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1655.1767

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1683.1486

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 187.8902 STD (High: 1717.4009 / Low: 1529.5107). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 46.7767 STD (High: 1677.8838 / Low: 1631.1071).

February Spread (Volatile) ±187.8902

September Spread (Stable) ±46.7767

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 69.6193 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -69.6193

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1738.7812) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1760.3413), the exchange rate shifted by -21.5601 (-1.22%).

2016 Avg (December) 1738.7812

2015 Avg (December) 1760.3413

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1752.4685	1650.1845	1723.5970
February	1717.4009	1529.5107	1653.9778
March	1721.5625	1590.5914	1658.6961
April	1698.6704	1529.0085	1606.1364
May	1685.8320	1552.3142	1624.8346
June	1759.3161	1595.3555	1663.8183
July	1732.9814	1645.4851	1681.8943
August	1688.2736	1616.2267	1651.8643
September	1677.8838	1631.1071	1649.6755
October	1710.2449	1625.3636	1675.2986
November	1750.4677	1645.9561	1701.3779
December	1784.7743	1708.1068	1738.7812