2012 SHP to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.5211 BAM

YEARLY LOW

2.3084 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.4139 BAM

2012 SHP to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SHP to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 22, valuing the pair at 2.5211. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 2.3084.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2127 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3536 to the December average rate of 2.4087, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.34% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 2.5211 was up 6.96% compared to the 2011 peak of 2.3570, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,606 BAM

2011 Average 11,282 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 11,542 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,063.61 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

2.4984

2.3263

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SHP to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3804, compared to 2.4474 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0670 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3804

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4474

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was July, with a trading range of 0.0958 BAM (High: 2.5211 / Low: 2.4254). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0271 BAM (High: 2.3573 / Low: 2.3302).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0958

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0271

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0314 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0314

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 2.4840) against the same month in 2011 (average: 2.2132), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2709 (+12.24%).

2012 Avg (July) 2.4840

2011 Avg (July) 2.2132

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.3735	2.3344	2.3536
February	2.3623	2.3084	2.3406
March	2.3573	2.3302	2.3458
April	2.4046	2.3388	2.3805
May	2.4535	2.4035	2.4348
June	2.4496	2.4087	2.4271
July	2.5211	2.4254	2.4840
August	2.4991	2.4638	2.4816
September	2.4744	2.4165	2.4502
October	2.4509	2.4019	2.4250
November	2.4500	2.4153	2.4351
December	2.4324	2.3857	2.4087