2012 SHP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4359.1339 UGX

YEARLY LOW

3629.8896 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

3971.1155 UGX

2012 SHP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SHP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 4359.1339. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 3629.8896.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 729.2443 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3741.3049 to the December average rate of 4313.2758, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 4359.1339 was down 5.72% compared to the 2011 peak of 4623.7029, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SHP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,795,669 UGX

2011 Average 20,240,206 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 18,149,448 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,646,221.30 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

4375.3534

3630.4226

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SHP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3862.4905, compared to 4079.7405 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 217.2499 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3862.4905

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4079.7405

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 270.8318 UGX (High: 3900.7214 / Low: 3629.8896). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 63.2670 UGX (High: 4184.5906 / Low: 4121.3236).

February Spread (Volatile) ±270.8318

October Spread (Stable) ±63.2670

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 82.5726 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -82.5726

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 4313.2758) against the same month in 2011 (average: 3825.1501), the exchange rate shifted by +488.1257 (+12.76%).

2012 Avg (December) 4313.2758

2011 Avg (December) 3825.1501

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3848.5404	3664.3643	3741.3049
February	3900.7214	3629.8896	3692.5001
March	4059.0977	3829.7149	3927.5767
April	4082.7786	3936.5594	4004.9380
May	4075.2345	3863.7659	3945.5980
June	3912.0602	3813.0894	3863.0255
July	3903.0005	3821.0203	3861.1302
August	4000.2874	3871.3685	3917.3614
September	4136.5070	3988.3684	4053.8045
October	4184.5906	4121.3236	4150.7056
November	4321.7449	4124.1187	4182.1654
December	4359.1339	4285.8779	4313.2758