YEARLY HIGH
0.4968 HUF
YEARLY LOW
0.4263 HUF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4669 HUF

2018 SOS to HUF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SOS to HUF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 0.4968. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.4263.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0705 HUF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4370 to the December average rate of 0.4890, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4968 was down 3.22% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5133, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,484 HUF
2017 Average 2,368 HUF
Yearly Trough Low 2,131 HUF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 352.51 HUF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.4948
0.4292
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to HUF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4486, compared to 0.4852 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0366 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4486
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4852

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0315 HUF (High: 0.4829 / Low: 0.4514). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0089 HUF (High: 0.4406 / Low: 0.4316).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0315
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0089

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0023 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0023

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.4894) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4583), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0310 (+6.77%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.4894
2017 Avg (November) 0.4583

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4494 0.4270 0.4370
February 0.4430 0.4263 0.4347
March 0.4406 0.4316 0.4359
April 0.4508 0.4334 0.4398
May 0.4829 0.4514 0.4649
June 0.4909 0.4684 0.4792
July 0.4902 0.4730 0.4799
August 0.4946 0.4752 0.4840
September 0.4887 0.4748 0.4821
October 0.4949 0.4803 0.4867
November 0.4968 0.4835 0.4894
December 0.4945 0.4833 0.4890