YEARLY HIGH
4.3431 MNT
YEARLY LOW
3.7565 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1995 MNT

2018 SOS to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SOS to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 17, valuing the pair at 4.3431. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 13, dropping to 3.7565.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5867 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1783 to the December average rate of 4.2494, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.70% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.3431 was down 0.15% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.3498, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 21,716 MNT
2017 Average 21,023 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 18,782 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,933.38 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.3208
4.0997
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.1471, compared to 4.2519 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1048 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.1471
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2519

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.4702 MNT (High: 4.2267 / Low: 3.7565). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0162 MNT (High: 4.2330 / Low: 4.2168).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.4702
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0162

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0531 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0531

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 4.2494) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.1920), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0574 (+1.37%).

2018 Avg (December) 4.2494
2017 Avg (December) 4.1920

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.2315 4.1245 4.1783
February 4.1684 4.1062 4.1327
March 4.1434 4.0892 4.1182
April 4.1871 4.0983 4.1381
May 4.2071 4.1271 4.1638
June 4.2267 3.7565 4.1513
July 4.2463 4.2066 4.2214
August 4.2373 4.2139 4.2232
September 4.2330 4.2168 4.2229
October 4.3156 4.2220 4.2921
November 4.3395 4.2714 4.3024
December 4.3431 4.2233 4.2494