YEARLY HIGH
0.1810 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.1629 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1731 RSD

2018 SOS to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SOS to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 0.1810. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 0.1629.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0180 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1677 to the December average rate of 0.1793, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1810 was down 11.62% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2048, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SOS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 905 RSD
2017 Average 930 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 815 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 90.18 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1811
0.1635
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SOS to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1688, compared to 0.1773 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0085 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1688
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1773

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0085 RSD (High: 0.1724 / Low: 0.1639). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0017 RSD (High: 0.1752 / Low: 0.1735).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0085
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0027 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0027

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.1793) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1732), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0061 (+3.51%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.1793
2017 Avg (December) 0.1732

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1724 0.1639 0.1677
February 0.1670 0.1629 0.1650
March 0.1670 0.1635 0.1650
April 0.1704 0.1650 0.1667
May 0.1777 0.1695 0.1734
June 0.1781 0.1735 0.1753
July 0.1752 0.1735 0.1746
August 0.1798 0.1745 0.1770
September 0.1769 0.1734 0.1756
October 0.1804 0.1761 0.1780
November 0.1809 0.1781 0.1796
December 0.1810 0.1779 0.1793