YEARLY HIGH
0.4547 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.2248 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3069 BGN

2016 SRD to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SRD to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 0.4547. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 0.2248.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2300 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4509 to the December average rate of 0.2520, the exchange rate registered a net change of -44.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.4547 was down 19.90% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.5677, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SRD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,274 BGN
2015 Average 2,648 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 1,124 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,149.94 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.4727
0.2111
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SRD to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3678, compared to 0.2459 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1219 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3678
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2459

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was April, with a trading range of 0.0399 BGN (High: 0.3417 / Low: 0.3018). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0055 BGN (High: 0.2523 / Low: 0.2468).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0399
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0055

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1155 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1155

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.4509) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.5102), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0593 (-11.62%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.4509
2015 Avg (January) 0.5102

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4547 0.4483 0.4509
February 0.4503 0.4331 0.4413
March 0.4506 0.4328 0.4402
April 0.3417 0.3018 0.3247
May 0.3090 0.2705 0.2979
June 0.2724 0.2454 0.2521
July 0.2523 0.2468 0.2502
August 0.2483 0.2381 0.2429
September 0.2440 0.2248 0.2329
October 0.2623 0.2285 0.2459
November 0.2555 0.2466 0.2514
December 0.2549 0.2488 0.2520