YEARLY HIGH
0.1860 UGX
YEARLY LOW
0.1751 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1804 UGX

2018 STD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the STD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 0.1860. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 9, dropping to 0.1751.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0109 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1803 to the December average rate of 0.1764, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.12% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.1860 was up 4.63% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.1778, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 STD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 930 UGX
2017 Average 834 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 875 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 54.75 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.1863
0.1755
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

STD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1826, compared to 0.1783 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0043 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1826
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1783

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0102 UGX (High: 0.1857 / Low: 0.1756). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 UGX (High: 0.1860 / Low: 0.1848).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0102
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0055 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0055

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 0.1854) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.1587), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0267 (+16.85%).

2018 Avg (April) 0.1854
2017 Avg (April) 0.1587

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1839 0.1779 0.1803
February 0.1845 0.1816 0.1833
March 0.1855 0.1824 0.1838
April 0.1860 0.1848 0.1854
May 0.1828 0.1779 0.1799
June 0.1857 0.1794 0.1827
July 0.1857 0.1756 0.1790
August 0.1791 0.1751 0.1772
September 0.1818 0.1788 0.1806
October 0.1817 0.1779 0.1791
November 0.1785 0.1761 0.1775
December 0.1777 0.1754 0.1764