YEARLY HIGH
0.6970 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.5215 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6140 MOP

2018 SZL to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SZL to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 0.6970. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 0.5215.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1755 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6603 to the December average rate of 0.5662, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6970 was up 6.61% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6538, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SZL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,485 MOP
2017 Average 3,017 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 2,608 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 877.50 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6950
0.5345
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SZL to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6576, compared to 0.5703 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0873 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6576
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5703

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.0583 MOP (High: 0.6106 / Low: 0.5523). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0242 MOP (High: 0.6936 / Low: 0.6694).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0583
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0242

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0345 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0345

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.6805) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6054), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0751 (+12.40%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.6805
2017 Avg (February) 0.6054

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6789 0.6459 0.6603
February 0.6970 0.6627 0.6805
March 0.6936 0.6694 0.6816
April 0.6843 0.6495 0.6686
May 0.6584 0.6338 0.6447
June 0.6438 0.5857 0.6102
July 0.6166 0.5837 0.6028
August 0.6106 0.5523 0.5772
September 0.5703 0.5215 0.5479
October 0.5701 0.5415 0.5559
November 0.5878 0.5550 0.5720
December 0.5927 0.5540 0.5662