YEARLY HIGH
8.2907 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.5480 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6031 RSD

2018 SZL to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SZL to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 8.2907. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 6.5480.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7427 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9707 to the December average rate of 7.3045, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.2907 was down 9.87% compared to the 2017 peak of 9.1989, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SZL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,453 RSD
2017 Average 40,481 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 32,740 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,713.50 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.2122
6.7688
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SZL to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.9536, compared to 7.2526 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.9536
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2526

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.7141 RSD (High: 7.6733 / Low: 6.9592). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2493 RSD (High: 8.0774 / Low: 7.8280).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.7141
January Spread (Stable) ±0.2493

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.4188 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4188

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 8.0919) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.8200), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7281 (-8.26%).

2018 Avg (February) 8.0919
2017 Avg (February) 8.8200

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.0774 7.8280 7.9707
February 8.2907 7.8853 8.0919
March 8.2253 7.9666 8.0905
April 8.1405 7.8006 7.9648
May 8.1634 7.8045 7.9709
June 8.0171 7.3308 7.6327
July 7.7011 7.3198 7.5287
August 7.6733 6.9592 7.3079
September 7.1990 6.5480 6.8891
October 7.3038 6.9267 7.1005
November 7.5926 7.1283 7.3851
December 7.6434 7.1157 7.3045