YEARLY HIGH
5.2793 AFN
YEARLY LOW
4.1449 AFN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.6043 AFN

2016 ARS to AFN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to AFN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 5.2793. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 4.1449.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1344 AFN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.0597 to the December average rate of 4.1950, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.2793 was down 25.36% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.0730, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,396 AFN
2015 Average 33,168 AFN
Yearly Trough Low 20,724 AFN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,672.20 AFN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.1462
4.1085
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to AFN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.8045, compared to 4.4040 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.8045
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4040

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 0.5336 AFN (High: 5.0580 / Low: 4.5244). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0834 AFN (High: 4.3604 / Low: 4.2770).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.5336
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0834

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3987 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3987

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.0597) against the same month in 2015 (average: 6.7138), the exchange rate shifted by -1.6542 (-24.64%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.0597
2015 Avg (January) 6.7138

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.2793 4.9248 5.0597
February 4.8804 4.3488 4.6609
March 4.7348 4.3579 4.5969
April 4.8716 4.6428 4.7563
May 4.9497 4.7906 4.8607
June 5.0580 4.5244 4.8923
July 4.7029 4.5496 4.6118
August 4.6278 4.4230 4.5352
September 4.5292 4.2794 4.4173
October 4.3604 4.2770 4.3386
November 4.4008 4.2244 4.3262
December 4.3087 4.1449 4.1950