YEARLY HIGH
6.0285 ALL
YEARLY LOW
2.6372 ALL
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.1267 ALL

2018 ARS to ALL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to ALL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 6.0285. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 2.6372.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3912 ALL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.7640 to the December average rate of 2.8709, the exchange rate registered a net change of -50.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 6.0285 was down 28.43% compared to the 2017 peak of 8.4234, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,142 ALL
2017 Average 36,135 ALL
Yearly Trough Low 13,186 ALL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,956.16 ALL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

6.0586
2.5244
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to ALL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0482, compared to 3.2052 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.8429 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0482
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2052

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 1.1944 ALL (High: 3.9847 / Low: 2.7904). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1107 ALL (High: 5.2732 / Low: 5.1625).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.1944
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1107

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.8538 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8538

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 5.7640) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.0734), the exchange rate shifted by -2.3094 (-28.60%).

2018 Avg (January) 5.7640
2017 Avg (January) 8.0734

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0285 5.4600 5.7640
February 5.5321 5.3144 5.4213
March 5.3664 5.1903 5.2626
April 5.2732 5.1625 5.2054
May 5.1384 4.2484 4.5723
June 4.3090 3.7438 4.0634
July 3.9731 3.7410 3.9046
August 3.9847 2.7904 3.6727
September 2.9583 2.6372 2.8190
October 3.0682 2.7620 2.9457
November 3.1138 2.8095 3.0185
December 2.9973 2.8174 2.8709