2016 ARS to BAM Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1390 BAM

YEARLY LOW

0.1136 BAM

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1200 BAM

2016 ARS to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.1390. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 0.1136.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0254 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1328 to the December average rate of 0.1172, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1390 was down 34.48% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.2122, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 695 BAM

2015 Average 957 BAM

Yearly Trough Low 568 BAM

Transaction Impact: A difference of 127.15 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1345

0.1140

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1226, compared to 0.1174 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0052 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1226

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1174

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0140 BAM (High: 0.1278 / Low: 0.1138). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0030 BAM (High: 0.1196 / Low: 0.1165).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0140

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0030

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0136 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0136

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.1328) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1957), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0629 (-32.15%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.1328

2015 Avg (January) 0.1957

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1390	0.1292	0.1328
February	0.1278	0.1138	0.1192
March	0.1208	0.1142	0.1179
April	0.1234	0.1161	0.1199
May	0.1265	0.1195	0.1226
June	0.1267	0.1163	0.1231
July	0.1212	0.1168	0.1187
August	0.1196	0.1158	0.1177
September	0.1173	0.1136	0.1157
October	0.1187	0.1136	0.1168
November	0.1196	0.1165	0.1183
December	0.1209	0.1139	0.1172

2016 இந்திய ரூபாய் முதல் பவுண்ட் வரையிலான வரலாற்று ஆய்வு