YEARLY HIGH
0.2195 BGN
YEARLY LOW
0.1758 BGN
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1822 BGN

2014 ARS to BGN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to BGN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 0.2195. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 6, dropping to 0.1758.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0437 BGN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2068 to the December average rate of 0.1860, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.2195 was down 27.70% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.3036, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,098 BGN
2013 Average 1,355 BGN
Yearly Trough Low 879 BGN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 218.52 BGN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.2098
0.1738
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BGN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1832, compared to 0.1812 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0021 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1832
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1812

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0404 BGN (High: 0.2195 / Low: 0.1791). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0015 BGN (High: 0.1774 / Low: 0.1759).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0404
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0015

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0244 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0244

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 0.2068) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.2976), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0908 (-30.50%).

2014 Avg (January) 0.2068
2013 Avg (January) 0.2976

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2195 0.1791 0.2068
February 0.1843 0.1802 0.1824
March 0.1807 0.1771 0.1787
April 0.1785 0.1762 0.1771
May 0.1782 0.1758 0.1773
June 0.1780 0.1760 0.1771
July 0.1783 0.1759 0.1772
August 0.1774 0.1759 0.1768
September 0.1835 0.1770 0.1804
October 0.1846 0.1805 0.1822
November 0.1854 0.1833 0.1843
December 0.1901 0.1830 0.1860