YEARLY HIGH
5.1100 BTN
YEARLY LOW
4.2085 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5605 BTN

2016 ARS to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 5.1100. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 4.2085.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9015 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9615 to the December average rate of 4.2849, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.1100 was down 31.23% compared to the 2015 peak of 7.4304, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,550 BTN
2015 Average 34,800 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 21,042 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,507.44 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.0292
4.2173
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.6988, compared to 4.4222 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2766 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.6988
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.4222

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.4865 BTN (High: 4.8281 / Low: 4.3416). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0707 BTN (High: 4.4192 / Low: 4.3485).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.4865
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0707

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3430 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3430

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 4.9615) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.2382), the exchange rate shifted by -2.2766 (-31.45%).

2016 Avg (January) 4.9615
2015 Avg (January) 7.2382

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.1100 4.8089 4.9615
February 4.8281 4.3416 4.6186
March 4.6108 4.3142 4.4933
April 4.7486 4.4794 4.6191
May 4.8185 4.6491 4.7391
June 4.8869 4.4630 4.7614
July 4.6000 4.4592 4.5120
August 4.5625 4.4589 4.5106
September 4.4888 4.3395 4.4240
October 4.4192 4.3485 4.3948
November 4.4471 4.3263 4.4068
December 4.3819 4.2085 4.2849