YEARLY HIGH
0.5345 BWP
YEARLY LOW
0.2578 BWP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3855 BWP

2018 ARS to BWP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to BWP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.5345. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 0.2578.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2767 BWP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5131 to the December average rate of 0.2829, the exchange rate registered a net change of -44.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5345 was down 23.96% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.7029, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,672 BWP
2017 Average 3,135 BWP
Yearly Trough Low 1,289 BWP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,383.67 BWP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5364
0.2568
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BWP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4587, compared to 0.3123 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1465 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4587
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3123

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1161 BWP (High: 0.3904 / Low: 0.2743). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0082 BWP (High: 0.4765 / Low: 0.4683).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1161
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0082

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0761 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0761

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.5131) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6664), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1533 (-23.01%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.5131
2017 Avg (January) 0.6664

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5345 0.4856 0.5131
February 0.4946 0.4684 0.4821
March 0.4765 0.4683 0.4732
April 0.4845 0.4737 0.4773
May 0.4756 0.3920 0.4225
June 0.4021 0.3611 0.3843
July 0.3799 0.3603 0.3732
August 0.3904 0.2743 0.3562
September 0.2949 0.2578 0.2801
October 0.3031 0.2694 0.2884
November 0.3024 0.2700 0.2929
December 0.2892 0.2789 0.2829