YEARLY HIGH
77.1864 CDF
YEARLY LOW
58.6155 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
65.5822 CDF

2016 ARS to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 77.1864. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 1, dropping to 58.6155.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.5709 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 68.3711 to the December average rate of 73.5495, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 77.1864 was down 28.97% compared to the 2015 peak of 108.6749, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 385,932 CDF
2015 Average 503,242 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 293,078 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 92,854.40 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

74.6822
61.0894
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 65.0169, compared to 66.1474 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1306 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 65.0169
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 66.1474

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 14.4912 CDF (High: 73.7190 / Low: 59.2278). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6489 CDF (High: 66.7051 / Low: 65.0562).

November Spread (Volatile) ±14.4912
May Spread (Stable) ±1.6489

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 5.5373 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.5373

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 73.5495) against the same month in 2015 (average: 83.5190), the exchange rate shifted by -9.9696 (-11.94%).

2016 Avg (December) 73.5495
2015 Avg (December) 83.5190

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 71.3777 66.6235 68.3711
February 66.0207 58.6629 62.8339
March 64.1574 58.6155 62.2221
April 66.1332 62.8062 64.4895
May 66.7051 65.0562 65.7079
June 68.8389 62.9363 66.4769
July 65.1761 62.6645 63.8928
August 67.0131 65.0441 65.8271
September 65.5720 63.6526 64.6826
October 64.8643 63.1708 63.9822
November 73.7190 59.2278 64.9505
December 77.1864 70.9075 73.5495