YEARLY HIGH
20.6588 RSD
YEARLY LOW
16.2818 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
17.7281 RSD

2011 ARS to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 20.6588. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 5, dropping to 16.2818.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3770 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.7218 to the December average rate of 18.2351, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 20.6588 was down 6.56% compared to the 2010 peak of 22.1085, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 103,294 RSD
2010 Average 99,272 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 81,409 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,885.21 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

20.0223
16.4163
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.9337, compared to 17.5225 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4112 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.9337
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.5225

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was January, with a trading range of 1.7005 RSD (High: 20.6588 / Low: 18.9583). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4859 RSD (High: 18.9913 / Low: 18.5054).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.7005
February Spread (Stable) ±0.4859

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.0154 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0154

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 19.7218) against the same month in 2010 (average: 17.8540), the exchange rate shifted by +1.8678 (+10.46%).

2011 Avg (January) 19.7218
2010 Avg (January) 17.8540

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 20.6588 18.9583 19.7218
February 18.9913 18.5054 18.7992
March 18.7058 17.8575 18.2467
April 17.9302 16.4014 17.2313
May 17.2474 16.2818 16.7168
June 17.4298 16.3230 16.8862
July 17.8058 16.8053 17.3217
August 17.4822 16.6741 17.0980
September 18.0602 16.6809 17.3966
October 18.2580 16.6314 17.3411
November 18.1884 17.1986 17.7425
December 18.9935 17.8950 18.2351