YEARLY HIGH
8.0143 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.1457 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.7429 RUB

2014 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 8.0143. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 26, dropping to 4.1457.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8686 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.8454 to the December average rate of 6.5866, the exchange rate registered a net change of 35.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 8.0143 was up 29.14% compared to the 2013 peak of 6.2058, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 40,071 RUB
2013 Average 29,195 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 20,728 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,343.02 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

6.8222
3.9948
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.4875, compared to 4.9983 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5108 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.4875
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.9983

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 2.0346 RUB (High: 8.0143 / Low: 5.9797). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1123 RUB (High: 4.4089 / Low: 4.2966).

December Spread (Volatile) ±2.0346
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1123

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3590 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3590

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 6.5866) against the same month in 2013 (average: 5.1897), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3969 (+26.92%).

2014 Avg (December) 6.5866
2013 Avg (December) 5.1897

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.0644 4.3185 4.8454
February 4.5845 4.3780 4.4864
March 4.6413 4.4011 4.5635
April 4.5222 4.3901 4.4575
May 4.4781 4.2367 4.3419
June 4.3338 4.1457 4.2304
July 4.3537 4.1754 4.2604
August 4.4089 4.2966 4.3527
September 4.6859 4.3952 4.5172
October 5.0649 4.6900 4.8235
November 5.8600 5.0519 5.4496
December 8.0143 5.9797 6.5866