YEARLY HIGH
13.5653 SCR
YEARLY LOW
7.3642 SCR
YEARLY AVERAGE
9.8058 SCR

2021 BGN to SCR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BGN to SCR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 13.5653. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 25, dropping to 7.3642.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.2011 SCR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.2116 to the December average rate of 7.7832, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 13.5653 was up 1.86% compared to the 2020 peak of 13.3179, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 67,827 SCR
2020 Average 50,307 SCR
Yearly Trough Low 36,821 SCR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 31,005.54 SCR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

13.7544
7.2403
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to SCR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.4482, compared to 8.1634 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.2848 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.4482
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1634

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 3.9671 SCR (High: 12.5094 / Low: 8.5423). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3889 SCR (High: 13.3219 / Low: 12.9330).

April Spread (Volatile) ±3.9671
February Spread (Stable) ±0.3889

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.7513 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7513

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 13.2116) against the same month in 2020 (average: 7.7562), the exchange rate shifted by +5.4554 (+70.34%).

2021 Avg (January) 13.2116
2020 Avg (January) 7.7562

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.5653 13.0913 13.2116
February 13.3219 12.9330 13.0945
March 13.1101 12.2795 12.8747
April 12.5094 8.5423 10.1234
May 10.3201 9.1041 9.7918
June 10.3161 8.9670 9.5934
July 9.9434 8.1750 8.9456
August 9.1921 7.6977 8.2665
September 8.4267 7.6872 7.9074
October 8.8658 7.5926 8.1969
November 8.6152 7.3642 7.8808
December 8.6421 7.3803 7.7832