YEARLY HIGH
3.6594 MDL
YEARLY LOW
2.9809 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.2740 MDL

2021 BRL to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the BRL to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 27, valuing the pair at 3.6594. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 8, dropping to 2.9809.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6785 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.2199 to the December average rate of 3.1358, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.61% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 3.6594 was down 14.57% compared to the 2020 peak of 4.2837, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 25,000 BRL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 91,485 MDL
2020 Average 84,427 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 74,523 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,961.45 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

3.5715
3.0962
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BRL to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.2754, compared to 3.2725 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.2754
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.2725

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 0.2636 MDL (High: 3.2446 / Low: 2.9809). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0967 MDL (High: 3.1878 / Low: 3.0910).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2636
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0967

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1904 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1904

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2021: 3.5319) against the same month in 2020 (average: 3.3077), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2243 (+6.78%).

2021 Avg (June) 3.5319
2020 Avg (June) 3.3077

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.3252 3.1312 3.2199
February 3.2628 3.1181 3.2151
March 3.2446 2.9809 3.1395
April 3.3156 3.1153 3.2076
May 3.4060 3.2528 3.3384
June 3.6594 3.4052 3.5319
July 3.5677 3.4138 3.4839
August 3.4431 3.2453 3.3642
September 3.4070 3.2232 3.3362
October 3.2673 3.0734 3.1458
November 3.2402 3.0686 3.1693
December 3.1878 3.0910 3.1358