YEARLY HIGH
50.1691 UGX
YEARLY LOW
38.1131 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
44.4314 UGX

2013 BTN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the BTN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 50.1691. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 28, dropping to 38.1131.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.0560 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 49.3924 to the December average rate of 40.5941, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 50.1691 was down 3.13% compared to the 2012 peak of 51.7913, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BTN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 250,845 UGX
2012 Average 237,946 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 190,565 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 60,280.07 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

50.3419
39.3647
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BTN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 47.7207, compared to 41.1420 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.5787 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 47.7207
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 41.1420

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was August, with a trading range of 4.6535 UGX (High: 42.7666 / Low: 38.1131). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7454 UGX (High: 41.6314 / Low: 40.8860).

August Spread (Volatile) ±4.6535
October Spread (Stable) ±0.7454

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.5147 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.5147

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 49.4271) against the same month in 2012 (average: 47.4052), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0219 (+4.27%).

2013 Avg (February) 49.4271
2012 Avg (February) 47.4052

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 49.9540 48.7979 49.3924
February 50.1691 48.6702 49.4271
March 49.0751 47.6710 48.4278
April 48.1356 46.3109 47.3763
May 48.1831 46.0098 47.1077
June 45.8855 43.0579 44.5931
July 43.8869 42.6508 43.3178
August 42.7666 38.1131 41.1842
September 41.2497 38.2868 40.2795
October 41.6314 40.8860 41.1762
November 40.8879 39.6280 40.3003
December 41.2574 40.2983 40.5941