YEARLY HIGH
1.2093 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.0000 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1215 UGX

2016 COP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the COP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 1.2093. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 16, dropping to 1.0000.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2094 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.0505 to the December average rate of 1.1958, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1.2093 was down 8.39% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.3201, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000,000 COP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,046,749 UGX
2015 Average 5,917,644 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,999,956 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,046,792.82 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1.2132
1.0042
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

COP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.0847, compared to 1.1584 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0737 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.0847
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.1584

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 0.0928 UGX (High: 1.1188 / Low: 1.0261). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0364 UGX (High: 1.2093 / Low: 1.1730).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0928
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0364

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0289 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0289

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1.1958) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0354), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1604 (+15.49%).

2016 Avg (December) 1.1958
2015 Avg (December) 1.0354

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.0666 1.0297 1.0505
February 1.0482 1.0000 1.0216
March 1.1188 1.0261 1.0761
April 1.1590 1.0828 1.1157
May 1.1655 1.0922 1.1167
June 1.1593 1.0853 1.1275
July 1.1610 1.0958 1.1400
August 1.1771 1.0916 1.1417
September 1.1834 1.1365 1.1578
October 1.1881 1.1510 1.1704
November 1.1704 1.1329 1.1444
December 1.2093 1.1730 1.1958