2021 இந்திய ரூபாய் முதல் பவுண்ட் வரையிலான வரலாற்று ஆய்வு
2021 ஆம் ஆண்டு முழுவதும் நாணய மாற்று விகிதச் செயல்பாட்டின் விரிவான பகுப்பாய்வு.
2021 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021
During 2021, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 71.8557. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 67.2175.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.6382 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 71.4459 to the December average rate of 67.6821, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 71.8557 was down 6.74% compared to the 2020 peak of 77.0502, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.
GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 70.6095, compared to 68.6655 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9440 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 1.6072 UGX (High: 71.5172 / Low: 69.9100). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4445 UGX (High: 69.4572 / Low: 69.0127).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsNo sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 1.5096 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 71.4459) against the same month in 2020 (average: 71.8740), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4281 (-0.60%).
Monthly Breakdown
Statistical summary for each calendar month.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 71.8557 | 70.6263 | 71.4459 |
| February | 71.6666 | 71.0465 | 71.3119 |
| March | 71.5833 | 71.1341 | 71.3802 |
| April | 71.5172 | 69.9100 | 70.9013 |
| May | 70.2807 | 68.9496 | 69.3917 |
| June | 69.6052 | 68.6978 | 69.2257 |
| July | 69.7642 | 69.1212 | 69.4284 |
| August | 69.4572 | 69.0127 | 69.1704 |
| September | 69.1290 | 67.7841 | 68.6362 |
| October | 69.8125 | 68.3150 | 69.0198 |
| November | 68.3860 | 67.4326 | 68.0560 |
| December | 68.1325 | 67.2175 | 67.6821 |