YEARLY HIGH
44.6781 UGX
YEARLY LOW
41.5346 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
42.4099 UGX

2021 KGS to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the KGS to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 44.6781. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 41.5346.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1435 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 44.1570 to the December average rate of 41.9285, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 44.6781 was down 16.41% compared to the 2020 peak of 53.4508, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KGS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 223,390 UGX
2020 Average 242,154 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 207,673 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,717.28 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

44.4087
41.3874
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KGS to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 42.9223, compared to 41.8975 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0248 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 42.9223
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 41.8975

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 1.0647 UGX (High: 42.7990 / Low: 41.7343). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2319 UGX (High: 43.3190 / Low: 43.0871).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.0647
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2319

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.7282 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7282

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 44.1570) against the same month in 2020 (average: 52.8515), the exchange rate shifted by -8.6945 (-16.45%).

2021 Avg (January) 44.1570
2020 Avg (January) 52.8515

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 44.6781 43.7896 44.1570
February 43.8272 43.3050 43.5126
March 43.3190 43.0871 43.2039
April 43.2028 42.1686 42.7667
May 42.3928 41.6367 42.0385
June 42.1431 41.5868 41.8548
July 42.1083 41.7561 41.9312
August 42.0024 41.6566 41.7798
September 41.9851 41.5346 41.6392
October 42.7990 41.7343 42.1865
November 42.2204 41.6079 41.9197
December 42.2157 41.7428 41.9285