YEARLY HIGH
19.7354 UGX
YEARLY LOW
17.4479 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
18.0900 UGX

2021 LKR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the LKR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 19.7354. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 17.4479.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2875 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.2826 to the December average rate of 17.5597, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 19.7354 was down 5.54% compared to the 2020 peak of 20.8937, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 LKR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 98,677 UGX
2020 Average 100,231 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 87,239 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,437.53 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

19.4549
17.3874
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

LKR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 18.4802, compared to 17.6997 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7805 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 18.4802
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 17.6997

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 1.0906 UGX (High: 19.7354 / Low: 18.6448). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1164 UGX (High: 17.8094 / Low: 17.6930).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0906
August Spread (Stable) ±0.1164

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.4355 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4355

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 19.2826) against the same month in 2020 (average: 20.2743), the exchange rate shifted by -0.9917 (-4.89%).

2021 Avg (January) 19.2826
2020 Avg (January) 20.2743

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 19.7354 18.6448 19.2826
February 18.9813 18.6040 18.8471
March 18.8430 18.3709 18.5573
April 18.8645 17.8718 18.3490
May 18.2075 17.7943 18.0054
June 17.9598 17.7231 17.8399
July 17.9145 17.7443 17.8288
August 17.8094 17.6930 17.7305
September 17.8225 17.4990 17.6720
October 18.0582 17.5933 17.8161
November 17.7236 17.4701 17.5913
December 17.6486 17.4479 17.5597