YEARLY HIGH
249.1076 CDF
YEARLY LOW
186.2263 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
231.6223 CDF

2020 MOP to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 249.1076. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 6, dropping to 186.2263.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 62.8814 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 210.6458 to the December average rate of 244.7942, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 249.1076 was up 18.43% compared to the 2019 peak of 210.3405, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,245,538 CDF
2019 Average 1,024,184 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 931,131 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 314,406.80 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

249.7950
207.0868
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 218.1033, compared to 245.1412 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 27.0379 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 218.1033
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 245.1412

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was December, with a trading range of 60.9614 CDF (High: 247.1876 / Low: 186.2263). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8938 CDF (High: 211.5067 / Low: 210.6128).

December Spread (Volatile) ±60.9614
February Spread (Stable) ±0.8938

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.5876 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5876

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2020: 245.9170) against the same month in 2019 (average: 205.3384), the exchange rate shifted by +40.5786 (+19.76%).

2020 Avg (August) 245.9170
2019 Avg (August) 205.3384

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 211.0743 209.5359 210.6458
February 211.5067 210.6128 211.1049
March 215.7652 211.3591 213.2260
April 216.5721 213.8049 215.2792
May 228.7459 216.5530 223.7990
June 240.8220 228.6366 234.5652
July 246.5382 239.3976 243.7279
August 249.1076 244.3357 245.9170
September 246.7391 245.0439 245.8800
October 246.4619 227.0095 244.2923
November 246.9025 245.8039 246.2360
December 247.1876 186.2263 244.7942